Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Osasuna
27.7%
Draw
25.6%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Osasuna
vs
0.98
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).