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21 Apr 2025 · 12:00

GAIS

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Djurgården
28.6%
Draw
28.4%
GAIS

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Djurgården

vs
1.15

GAIS

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).