Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Hatayspor
29.1%
Draw
43.6%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Hatayspor
vs
1.71
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
1-0
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).