Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Hertha
31.6%
Draw
29.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Hertha
vs
0.99
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).