Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Paris SG
22.6%
Draw
22.6%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Paris SG
vs
1.06
Lille
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).