Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Shrewsbury
25.9%
Draw
39.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Shrewsbury
vs
1.22
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).