Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Andorra
24.3%
Draw
21.0%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Andorra
vs
0.92
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).