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AHT: 12CSV

02 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.1%
Levante
18.7%
Draw
69.1%
Real Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Levante

vs
2.25

Real Madrid

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).