Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Atalanta
22.2%
Draw
17.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Atalanta
vs
0.86
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).