Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Ponferradina
31.3%
Draw
39.3%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Ponferradina
vs
1.05
Eibar
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).