Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Hull
26.6%
Draw
25.2%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Hull
vs
1.12
Preston
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).