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15 Dec 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.1%
Fenerbahce
22.1%
Draw
18.8%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Fenerbahce

vs
1.41

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS71.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-0
5.2%
3-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
4-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).