Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
St Pauli
33.3%
Draw
36.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
St Pauli
vs
1.03
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).