Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Bari
26.4%
Draw
53.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Bari
vs
1.69
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).