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AHT: 02CSV

18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.4%
Accrington
21.6%
Draw
54.1%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Accrington

vs
1.77

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).