Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Stevenage
26.4%
Draw
23.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Stevenage
vs
0.78
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).