Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Barcelona
17.7%
Draw
7.9%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Barcelona
vs
0.56
Getafe
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).