Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Swindon
25.5%
Draw
30.8%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Swindon
vs
1.12
Colchester
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).