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19 Oct 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.8%
Bayern Munich
12.5%
Draw
8.7%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

3.32

Bayern Munich

vs
1.13

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.1%
Over 3.564.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
1-1
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
5-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
5-0
3.9%
4-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).