Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Brescia
29.5%
Draw
21.0%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Brescia
vs
0.84
Bari
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).