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AHT: 01CSV

18 Mar 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Halifax
28.8%
Draw
28.5%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Halifax

vs
1.10

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).