Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Oviedo
33.5%
Draw
34.4%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Oviedo
vs
0.92
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.8%
0-1
14.9%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).