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DHT: 01CSV

15 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Kidderminster
31.3%
Draw
41.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Kidderminster

vs
1.21

Torquay

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).