Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Portsmouth
27.0%
Draw
23.6%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Portsmouth
vs
1.04
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).