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AHT: 01

19 Jul 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.8%
Öster
25.5%
Draw
56.7%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Öster

vs
1.78

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).