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AHT: 01

23 May 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Austria Wien
29.3%
Draw
33.3%
Hartberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Austria Wien

vs
1.18

Hartberg

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).