Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Lugo
28.5%
Draw
56.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Lugo
vs
1.32
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS29.9%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.9%
0-0
15.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.2%
0-4
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).