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AHT: 02CSV

27 Apr 2021 · 19:00

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Forest Green
26.8%
Draw
34.3%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Forest Green

vs
1.14

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Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).