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03 Mar 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Andorra
29.9%
Draw
43.7%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Andorra

vs
1.17

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).