⚽ FootballData
Crewe

Home

1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.3%
Crewe
27.0%
Draw
39.7%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Crewe

vs
1.24

Bradford

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).