Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Bordeaux
20.0%
Draw
29.9%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Bordeaux
vs
1.69
Metz
Markets
BTTS72.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).