Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Elversberg
23.5%
Draw
20.1%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Elversberg
vs
1.12
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).