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18 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.2%
Kolos Kovalivka
21.3%
Draw
69.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.51

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
1.84

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.3%
0-2
16.2%
0-3
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).