Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
Real Madrid
10.7%
Draw
4.1%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Real Madrid
vs
0.53
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-0
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).