Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Willenhall Town
29.6%
Draw
23.0%
Alton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Willenhall Town
vs
0.73
Alton
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).