Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Gillingham
23.5%
Draw
26.3%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Gillingham
vs
1.11
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).