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DHT: 11CSV

25 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Stirling
27.6%
Draw
31.6%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Stirling

vs
1.44

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS63.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).