Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Famalicao
30.1%
Draw
42.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Famalicao
vs
1.29
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).