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03 Sept 2023 · 16:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Nice
23.2%
Draw
43.3%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Nice

vs
1.58

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).