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AHT: 01CSV

29 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.9%
Boreham Wood
12.1%
Draw
6.0%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.10

Boreham Wood

vs
0.80

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).