Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
53.1%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Fiorentina
vs
1.63
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).