Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Port Vale
25.8%
Draw
51.8%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Port Vale
vs
1.36
Bolton
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).