Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Bologna
26.9%
Draw
19.5%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Bologna
vs
0.73
Lecce
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).