Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Sp Braga
20.7%
Draw
9.8%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sp Braga
vs
0.63
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).