Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
M'gladbach
30.7%
Draw
23.4%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
M'gladbach
vs
0.84
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).