Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Peterboro
22.7%
Draw
27.1%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Peterboro
vs
1.11
Coventry
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).