Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.9%
Salernitana
14.8%
Draw
77.3%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Salernitana
vs
2.45
Milan
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-3
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
0-4
6.8%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).