Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
St. Gallen
21.3%
Draw
13.1%
Zürich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
St. Gallen
vs
0.98
Zürich
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).