Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Swansea
26.9%
Draw
24.4%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Swansea
vs
1.07
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).