Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Mallorca
27.6%
Draw
41.1%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Mallorca
vs
1.36
Celta
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).